Scorpion Bay
Surf spot · Mexico
Is it worth the trip?
40Poor out of 100 for your dates
Best on Sun 8: 3 ft swell at 11 s, sheltered (estimated): holds up in a blow
Wed 4 · 38 out of 100
- Swell
- 3 ft12 ssoft
- Energy
- 167kJ
- Wind
- NNW 7 kn
- Temp
- 28°C
Thu 5 · 43 out of 100
- Swell
- 3 ft13 ssoft
- Energy
- 234kJ
- Wind
- NNW 6 kn
- Temp
- 28°C
Fri 6 · 35 out of 100
- Swell
- 2 ft12 ssoft
- Energy
- 119kJ
- Wind
- E 3 kn
- Temp
- 27°C
Sat 7 · 30 out of 100
- Swell
- 2 ft16 scrumbling
- Energy
- 151kJ
- Wind
- NNE 6 kn
- Temp
- 29°C
Sun 8 · 56 out of 100
- Swell
- 3 ft11 ssoft
- Energy
- 271kJ
- Wind
- NNE 8 kn
- Temp
- 33°C
Mon 9 · 22 out of 100
- Swell
- 2 ft12 scrumbling
- Energy
- 61kJ
- Wind
- WSW 2 kn
- Temp
- 30°C
Tue 10 · 29 out of 100
- Swell
- 3 ft12 ssoft
- Energy
- 231kJ
- Wind
- W 10 kn
- Temp
- 30°C
Tap a day for waves, wind and the temperature. Full forecast
Forecast: next 9 days
Full forecast- Tue 351, fair
- Wed 438, too small
- Thu 543, too small
- Fri 635, too small
- Sat 730, too small
- Sun 856, fair
- Mon 922, too small
- Tue 1029, poor
- Wed 1151, fair
The spot in six facts
- Faces Stakes swell from the S
- Offshore: Nwind from the land
- Intermediate +who it suits
- Works 3–11 ftof swell
- Water 23 °C2 mm shorty
- Best Nov–Jan2 good days in 7
Full forecast
every day, every number
Scorpion Bay does not suit beginners. This is the forecast for intermediates, so you can see what it does.
| Day | Scorefor Intermediate | Swell | Energy | Wind | Temp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3Nov | 51, fair | 3 ft11 ssoft5 ft at break (est.) | 237kJ | offshorewind from the north-north-east, 3 knots, offshore | 28°C |
| Wed 4Nov | 38, too small | 3 ft12 ssoft5 ft at break (est.) | 167kJ | offshorewind from the north-north-west, 7 knots, offshore | 28°C |
| Thu 5Nov | 43, too small | 3 ft13 ssoftunder 1 ft at break (est.) | 234kJ | offshorewind from the north-north-west, 6 knots, offshore | 28°C |
| Fri 6Nov | 35, too small | 2 ft12 ssoft4 ft at break (est.) | 119kJ | wind from the east, 3 knots | 27°C |
| Sat 7Nov | 30, too small | 2 ft16 scrumblingunder 1 ft at break (est.) | 151kJ | offshorewind from the north-north-east, 6 knots, offshore | 29°C |
| Sun 8Nov | 56, fair | 3 ft11 ssoftunder 1 ft at break (est.) | 271kJ | offshorewind from the north-north-east, 8 knots, offshore | 33°C |
| Mon 9Nov | 22, too small | 2 ft12 scrumbling3 ft at break (est.) | 61kJ | wind from the west-south-west, 2 knots | 30°C |
| Tue 10Nov | 29, poor | 3 ft12 ssoftunder 1 ft at break (est.) | 231kJ | wind from the west, 10 knots | 30°C |
| Wed 11Nov | 51, fair | 3 ft11 ssoftunder 1 ft at break (est.) | 234kJ | wind from the south, 2 knots | 31°C |
Energy is the swell's power, in kJ per metre of wave. Wind is in knots, the arrow where it blows to; green is offshore. More
Tide
- Tue 3 NovHigh 05:11 +0.5 mLow 10:59 −0.3 mHigh 16:51 +0.6 mLow 23:18 −0.7 m
- Wed 4 NovHigh 05:47 +0.7 mLow 11:55 −0.5 mHigh 17:55 +0.6 m
- Thu 5 NovLow 00:00 −0.7 mHigh 06:19 +0.8 mLow 12:40 −0.7 mHigh 18:46 +0.6 m
Local clock times; heights about mean sea level. On open coasts the times are usually within a quarter of an hour; in bays, estuaries and on the Gulf of Mexico they can be an hour or more out. Tide: EOT20 global ocean tide model, Hart-Davis et al. 2021, DGFI-TUM (doi:10.17882/79489), CC BY 4.0. Times and heights computed by us. A model, not a tide table: check a local table before you go.
Forecast updated . It refreshes every three hours. Forecast data: ECMWF, DWD, Météo-France and NOAA, served by Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0). Changed by us. Generated using E.U. Copernicus Marine Service Information.
Best time to go
best Nov–Jan
Good days in a typical week, each month, for intermediate surfers, from 2016 on (history scored the same way).
- Jan2of 7: a trip from Sat 2 Jan
- Feb1of 7: a trip from Sat 6 Feb
- Mar0of 7: a trip from Sat 6 Mar
- Apr0of 7: a trip from Sat 3 Apr
- May0of 7: a trip from Sat 1 May
- Jun0of 7: a trip from Sat 5 Jun
- Jul0of 7: a trip from Sat 3 Jul
- Aug1of 7: a trip from Sat 7 Aug
- Sep1of 7: a trip from Sat 4 Sept
- Oct1of 7: a trip from Sat 2 Oct
- Nov2of 7: a trip from Wed 4 Nov
- Dec2of 7: a trip from Sat 5 Dec
Tap a month to see this spot for a trip then.
Typical, not a forecast.
Map
the spot and its town
Scorpion Bay on Google Maps · Directions
Each place wears its best day on these dates, a surf spot for beginners: green good, amber fair, pale red poor, as the key says.
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About
the place in full, sources, credits
About Scorpion Bay
Facing, offshore wind, exposure, level and swell range are estimated.
The spot faces S (191°), so it takes swell from the S. The wind blows offshore from the N (11°). It is sheltered to the open swell. It suits intermediate surfers and up. It works in 3–11 ft of swell. The sea floor shelves gently: 10 m deep about 850 m out (1 in 83). On a typical 5 ft, 11 s swell the waves here would spill softly. The sea is about 16°C in May, its coldest month (3/2 wetsuit), and 25°C in August, its warmest (no wetsuit). For intermediate surfers the best months are usually January, November and December, with about 2 good days in 7. From the weather of past years. The town to stay in is San Juanico, 2.5 km away (10 min by car).
Water about 23°C: 2 mm shorty. Typical sea temperature for the time of year, not a forecast.
The score is the conditions only: the journey, the price and the partners never change it (how we score, how we earn).
Rough cost (estimate): about US$812–US$1,480 each
about US$812–US$1,480 each · 6 nights, 2 sharing: flights, hire car, stay, food, board and wetsuit.
Our estimate from typical public prices, not a quote: check the real prices before you book (where they come from). Prices are about, in US Dollar (USD): our pound figures at the European Central Bank's rate of 2 November 2026.
How we worked it out
| What | How we worked it out | Each |
|---|---|---|
| Flights | return MDW to LTO, estimated from distance and season, changing at DFW, full-service airlines, with a hold bag | about US$248–US$517 |
| Hire car | 6 days, shared | about US$94–US$154 |
| Stay | 6 nights, a mid-range double, shared | about US$181–US$295 |
| Food | 7 days eating out | about US$201–US$376 |
| Board and wetsuit | 5 days, or about US$114 to fly your own | about US$87–US$141 |
| Total | about US$812–US$1,480 |
For 2 people sharing a room. Lessons, lift-pass deals and insurance are extra. Prices from public sources, checked in 2026.
Where to stay: San Juanico
Ad Links marked Ad may pay us if you book. You pay the same, and they never change a score. How we earn
10 min by car · 4 places to stay
about US$67/nightcountry average
About San Juanico its beds, food and every spot near it
About US$67 a night is our estimate of the country's average 2-star double room that month: not each town's price, and not a quote. Drives are estimates. Prices are about, in US Dollar (USD): our pound figures at the European Central Bank's rate of 2 November 2026.
Getting there: about 13h 30m
About 13h 30m door to door from Chicago
Fly MDW → LTO, changing at Dallas Fort Worth International Airport (DFW), then 2h 20m by road
Flights MDW → LTO on your dates · AviasalesAdeSIM for your phone · Search on AiraloAd
An estimate, one way; the journey never changes the score.
In the water
Saved: this link opens the same trip
The link holds the trip itself: nothing about you is kept. Check the forecast again before you book.