Arroyo seco
Surf spot · Mexico
Is it worth the trip?
67Good out of 100 for your dates
Best on Thu 5: 4 ft swell at 11 s
Mon 2 · 65 out of 100
- Swell
- 5 ft12 scrumbling
- Energy
- 648kJ
- Wind
- ESE 3 kn
- Temp
- 28°C
Tue 3 · 77 out of 100
- Swell
- 4 ft11 scrumbling
- Energy
- 467kJ
- Wind
- N 2 kn
- Temp
- 29°C
Wed 4 · 61 out of 100
- Swell
- 4 ft11 scrumbling
- Energy
- 327kJ
- Wind
- ESE 8 kn
- Temp
- 29°C
Thu 5 · 78 out of 100
- Swell
- 4 ft11 scrumbling
- Energy
- 306kJ
- Wind
- ENE 6 kn
- Temp
- 28°C
Fri 6 · 65 out of 100
- Swell
- 3 ft11 scrumbling
- Energy
- 274kJ
- Wind
- NNW 5 kn
- Temp
- 28°C
Sat 7 · 56 out of 100
- Swell
- 3 ft11 scrumbling
- Energy
- 196kJ
- Wind
- SE 5 kn
- Temp
- 28°C
Sun 8 · 44 out of 100
- Swell
- 2 ft14 shollow
- Energy
- 197kJ
- Wind
- WSW 3 kn
- Temp
- 28°C
Tap a day for waves, wind and the temperature. Full forecast
Forecast: next 10 days
Full forecast- Sun 167, good
- Mon 265, good
- Tue 377, good
- Wed 461, good
- Thu 578, good
- Fri 665, good
- Sat 756, fair
- Sun 844, too small
- Mon 964, good
- Tue 1038, too small
The spot in six facts
- Faces SWtakes swell from the SW
- Offshore: NEwind from the land
- Intermediate +who it suits
- Works 2–8 ftof swell
- Water 29 °Cno wetsuit
- Best Jul, Nov4 good days in 7
Full forecast
every day, every number
The score doesn't know rips, currents, rocks or your skill.
Arroyo seco does not suit beginners. This is the forecast for intermediates, so you can see what it does.
| Day | Scorefor Intermediate | Swell | Energy | Wind | Temp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 1Nov | 67, good | 5 ft12 scrumbling8 ft at break (est.) | 711kJ | wind from the west-south-west, 4 knots | 28°C |
| Mon 2Nov | 65, good | 5 ft12 scrumbling8 ft at break (est.) | 648kJ | wind from the east-south-east, 3 knots | 28°C |
| Tue 3Nov | 77, good | 4 ft11 scrumbling7 ft at break (est.) | 467kJ | offshorewind from the north, 2 knots, offshore | 29°C |
| Wed 4Nov | 61, good | 4 ft11 scrumbling6 ft at break (est.) | 327kJ | wind from the east-south-east, 8 knots | 29°C |
| Thu 5Nov | 78, good | 4 ft11 scrumbling6 ft at break (est.) | 306kJ | offshorewind from the east-north-east, 6 knots, offshore | 28°C |
| Fri 6Nov | 65, good | 3 ft11 scrumbling5 ft at break (est.) | 274kJ | wind from the north-north-west, 5 knots | 28°C |
| Sat 7Nov | 56, fair | 3 ft11 scrumbling5 ft at break (est.) | 196kJ | wind from the south-east, 5 knots | 28°C |
| Sun 8Nov | 44, too small | 2 ft14 shollow2 ft at break (est.) | 197kJ | wind from the west-south-west, 3 knots | 28°C |
| Mon 9Nov | 64, good | 3 ft11 scrumbling2 ft at break (est.) | 245kJ | wind from the west-south-west, 4 knots | 28°C |
| Tue 10Nov | 38, too small | 2 ft13 shollow4 ft at break (est.) | 101kJ | wind from the north-north-west, 0 knots | 29°C |
Energy is the swell's power, in kJ per metre of wave. Wind is in knots, the arrow where it blows to; green is offshore. More
Tide
- Sun 1 NovHigh 07:29 +0.2 mLow 11:50 +0.2 mHigh 14:04 +0.2 mLow 22:55 −0.3 m
- Mon 2 NovHigh 06:28 +0.3 mLow 12:05 +0.0 mHigh 16:53 +0.2 mLow 23:50 −0.3 m
- Tue 3 NovHigh 06:34 +0.3 mLow 12:34 −0.1 mHigh 18:08 +0.3 m
Local clock times; heights about mean sea level. On open coasts the times are usually within a quarter of an hour; in bays, estuaries and on the Gulf of Mexico they can be an hour or more out. Tide: EOT20 global ocean tide model, Hart-Davis et al. 2021, DGFI-TUM (doi:10.17882/79489), CC BY 4.0. Times and heights computed by us. A model, not a tide table: check a local table before you go.
Forecast updated . It refreshes every three hours. Forecast data: ECMWF, DWD, Météo-France and NOAA, served by Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0). Changed by us. Generated using E.U. Copernicus Marine Service Information.
Best time to go
best Jul, Nov
Good days in a typical week, each month, for intermediate surfers, from 2016 on (history scored the same way).
- Jan2of 7: a trip from Sat 2 Jan
- Feb3of 7: a trip from Sat 6 Feb
- Mar2of 7: a trip from Sat 6 Mar
- Apr2of 7: a trip from Sat 3 Apr
- May2of 7: a trip from Sat 1 May
- Jun2of 7: a trip from Sat 5 Jun
- Jul4of 7: a trip from Sat 3 Jul
- Aug3of 7: a trip from Sat 7 Aug
- Sep3of 7: a trip from Sat 4 Sept
- Oct3of 7: a trip from Sat 2 Oct
- Nov4of 7: a trip from Mon 2 Nov
- Dec3of 7: a trip from Sat 5 Dec
Tap a month to see this spot for a trip then.
Typical, not a forecast.
Map
the spot and its town
Arroyo seco on Google Maps · Directions
Each place wears its best day on these dates, a surf spot for beginners: green good, amber fair, pale red poor, as the key says.
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More surf near here
2 places
- Ranchito 24.7 km away
- Barra de Navidad 31.4 km away
About
the place in full, sources, credits
About Arroyo seco
Facing, offshore wind, exposure, level and swell range are estimated.
The spot faces SW (221°), so it takes swell from the SW. The wind blows offshore from the NE (41°). It is exposed to the open swell. It suits intermediate surfers and up. It works in 2–8 ft of swell. The sea floor shelves moderately: 10 m deep about 300 m out (1 in 30). On a typical 5 ft, 11 s swell the waves here would crumble. The sea is about 24°C in April, its coldest month (no wetsuit), and 30°C in July, its warmest (no wetsuit). For intermediate surfers the best months are usually July and November, with about 4 good days in 7. From the weather of past years. The town to stay in is La Manzanilla.
Water about 29°C: no wetsuit. Typical sea temperature for the time of year, not a forecast.
The score is the conditions only: the journey, the price and the partners never change it (how we score, how we earn).
Rough cost (estimate): about US$817–US$1,490 each
about US$817–US$1,490 each · 6 nights, 2 sharing: flights, hire car, stay, food, board and wetsuit.
Our estimate from typical public prices, not a quote: check the real prices before you book (where they come from). Prices are about, in US Dollar (USD): our pound figures at the European Central Bank's rate of 30 October 2026.
How we worked it out
| What | How we worked it out | Each |
|---|---|---|
| Flights | return ORD to PVR, estimated from distance and season, 2 airlines on the route, with a hold bag | about US$255–US$523 |
| Hire car | 6 days, shared | about US$94–US$154 |
| Stay | 6 nights, a mid-range double, shared | about US$181–US$295 |
| Food | 7 days eating out | about US$201–US$375 |
| Board and wetsuit | 5 days, or about US$114 to fly your own | about US$87–US$141 |
| Total | about US$817–US$1,490 |
For 2 people sharing a room. Lessons, lift-pass deals and insurance are extra. Prices from public sources, checked in 2026.
Where to stay: 2 towns
31 min by car · 31 places to stay
about US$67/nightcountry average
About La Manzanilla its beds, food and every spot near it
- Beds in Barra de Navidad on Booking.com
55 min by car · 52 places to stay
Nearest beds: La Manzanilla, 18 km (about 35 min by car)
About US$67 a night is our estimate of the country's average 2-star double room that month: not each town's price, and not a quote. Drives are estimates. Prices are about, in US Dollar (USD): our pound figures at the European Central Bank's rate of 30 October 2026.
Getting there: about 11h 05m
About 11h 05m door to door from Chicago
Fly ORD → PVR, direct, then 3h by road
Flights ORD → PVR on your dates · Skyscanner
An estimate, one way; the journey never changes the score.
In the water
Saved: this link opens the same trip
The link holds the trip itself: nothing about you is kept. Check the forecast again before you book.