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Taylor's Mistake
Taylors Mistake. Photo: Kevin Prince, CC BY-SA 2.0, Wikimedia Commons

Taylors Mistake

Surf spot · New Zealand

Is it worth the trip?

6Poor out of 100 for your dates

Stay home

Best on Fri 6: too small (3 ft swell at 5 s), sheltered (estimated): holds up in a blow

Each day of your trip, out of 100

Tue 3 · 5 out of 100

Swell
1 ft5 smushy
Energy
6kJ
Wind
WNW 3 kn
Temp
20°C

Wed 4 · 3 out of 100

Swell
1 ft3 smushy
Energy
1kJ
Wind
ESE 5 kn
Temp
17°C

Thu 5 · 7 out of 100

Swell
2 ft3 smushy
Energy
6kJ
Wind
SSE 5 kn
Temp
20°C

Fri 6 · 10 out of 100

Swell
3 ft5 smushy
Energy
34kJ
Wind
NE 6 kn
Temp
23°C

Sat 7 · 7 out of 100

Swell
2 ft6 smushy
Energy
14kJ
Wind
W 1 kn
Temp
18°C

Sun 8 · 2 out of 100

Swell
2 ft6 smushy
Energy
15kJ
Wind
NE 7 kn
Temp
18°C

Mon 9 · 2 out of 100

Swell
1 ft6 smushy
Energy
15kJ
Wind
E 8 kn
Temp
16°C

Tap a day for waves, wind and the temperature. Full forecast

Forecast: next 10 days

Full forecast
  1. Mon 22, too small
  2. Tue 35, too small
  3. Wed 43, too small
  4. Thu 57, too small
  5. Fri 610, too small
  6. Sat 77, too small
  7. Sun 82, too small
  8. Mon 92, too small
  9. Tue 103, too small
  10. Wed 1111, too small

The spot in six facts

  • Faces NEtakes swell from the NE
  • Offshore: SWwind from the land
  • Intermediate +who it suits
  • Works 3–13 ftof swell
  • Water 14 °C4/3 wetsuit and boots
  • Best Jun, Aug2 good days in 7

Full forecast

every day, every number
Forecast and score for expert surfers at Taylors Mistake, each day
DayScore for expertsSwellEnergyWindTemp
Mon 2Nov2, too small1 ft6 smushy2 ft at break (est.)6kJwind from the west-north-west, 13 knots19°C
Tue 3Nov5, too small1 ft5 smushy2 ft at break (est.)6kJwind from the west-north-west, 3 knots20°C
Wed 4Nov3, too small1 ft3 smushy1 ft at break (est.)1kJwind from the east-south-east, 5 knots17°C
Thu 5Nov7, too small2 ft3 smushy2 ft at break (est.)6kJwind from the south-south-east, 5 knots20°C
Fri 6Nov10, too small3 ft5 smushy3 ft at break (est.)34kJwind from the north-east, 6 knots23°C
Sat 7Nov7, too small2 ft6 smushy2 ft at break (est.)14kJwind from the west, 1 knot18°C
Sun 8Nov2, too small2 ft6 smushy2 ft at break (est.)15kJwind from the north-east, 7 knots18°C
Mon 9Nov2, too small1 ft6 smushy2 ft at break (est.)15kJwind from the east, 8 knots16°C
Tue 10Nov3, too small1 ft8 smushy1 ft at break (est.)6kJwind from the north-east, 4 knots18°C
Wed 11Nov11, too small2 ft6 smushy2 ft at break (est.)18kJwind from the south-south-west, 13 knots, offshore11°C

Energy is the swell's power, in kJ per metre of wave. Wind is in knots, the arrow where it blows to; green is offshore. More

Tide

  • Mon 2 NovLow 04:49 −1.0 mHigh 11:09 +1.0 mLow 17:28 −1.0 mHigh 23:39 +0.9 m
  • Tue 3 NovLow 05:50 −1.0 mHigh 12:09 +1.0 mLow 18:27 −1.0 m
  • Wed 4 NovHigh 00:39 +0.9 mLow 06:51 −1.0 mHigh 13:08 +1.0 mLow 19:24 −1.0 m

Local clock times; heights about mean sea level. On open coasts the times are usually within a quarter of an hour; in bays, estuaries and on the Gulf of Mexico they can be an hour or more out. Tide: EOT20 global ocean tide model, Hart-Davis et al. 2021, DGFI-TUM (doi:10.17882/79489), CC BY 4.0. Times and heights computed by us. A model, not a tide table: check a local table before you go.

Forecast updated . It refreshes every three hours. Forecast data: ECMWF, DWD, Météo-France and NOAA, served by Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0). Changed by us. Generated using E.U. Copernicus Marine Service Information.

Map

the spot, its town, photos

Each place wears its best day on these dates, a surf spot for experts: green good, amber fair, pale red poor, as the key says.

The map needs JavaScript. Every place on it is listed on this page, and each place's page links to Google Maps.

One finger scrolls the page; two fingers move the map. Pins are our own positions. Map OpenFreeMap, © OpenMapTiles, data © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Photos of Taylors Mistake

Beach, Taylors Mistake, Christchurch, New Zealand
Photo: Michal Klajban, CC BY-SA 4.0, Wikimedia Commons
Harris Bay, Taylors Mistake, Christchurch, New Zealand
Photo: Michal Klajban, CC BY-SA 4.0, Wikimedia Commons
Harris Bay Banks Peninsula. NZ
Photo: Bernard Spragg. NZ from Christchurch, New Zealand, CC0, Wikimedia Commons

More surf near here

5 places

About

the place in full, sources, credits

About Taylors Mistake

Facing, offshore wind, exposure, level and swell range are estimated.

The spot faces NE (42°), so it takes swell from the NE. The wind blows offshore from the SW (222°). It is sheltered to the open swell. It suits intermediate surfers and up. It works in 3–13 ft of swell. The sea floor shelves gently: 10 m deep about 550 m out (1 in 53). On a typical 5 ft, 11 s swell the waves here would spill softly. The sea is about 10°C in July, its coldest month (4/3 or 5/4, boots and gloves), and 18°C in February, its warmest (2 mm shorty). For intermediate surfers the best months are usually June and August, with about 2 good days in 7; in November and December, about 0. From the weather of past years. The town to stay in is Lyttelton, 5.5 km away (about 10 min by car). Within 5 km we also list 3 surf spots, 1 wind sports spot and 1 climbing area.

Water about 14°C: 4/3 wetsuit and boots. Typical sea temperature for the time of year, not a forecast.

The score is the conditions only: the journey, the price and the partners never change it (how we score, how we earn).

Rough cost (estimate): about US$1,680–US$3,210 each

about US$1,680–US$3,210 each · 6 nights, 2 sharing: flights, taxi, stay, food, board and wetsuit.

Our estimate from typical public prices, not a quote: check the real prices before you book (where they come from). Prices are about, in US Dollar (USD): our pound figures at the European Central Bank's rate of 30 October 2026.

How we worked it out 
Rough cost per person for this trip
WhatHow we worked it outEach
Flightsreturn MDW to CHC, estimated from distance and season, changing at SFO, full-service airlines, with a hold bagabout US$858–US$1,780
Taxiairport and back, sharedabout US$47–US$80
Stay6 nights, a mid-range double, sharedabout US$342–US$563
Food7 days eating outabout US$301–US$563
Board and wetsuit5 days, or about US$114 to fly your ownabout US$134–US$221
Totalabout US$1,680–US$3,210

For 2 people sharing a room. Lessons, lift-pass deals and insurance are extra. Prices from public sources, checked in 2026.

Where to stay: 3 towns

Closest

Lyttelton

about 10 min by car · 3 places to stay

about US$127/nightcountry average

See 3 places to stay in Lyttelton · Booking.com

About Lyttelton its beds, food and every spot near it

About US$127 a night is our estimate of the country's average 2-star double room that month: not each town's price, and not a quote. Drives are estimates. Prices are about, in US Dollar (USD): our pound figures at the European Central Bank's rate of 30 October 2026.

Getting there: about 26h 35m

About 26h 35m door to door from Chicago

Fly MDW → CHC, changing at San Francisco International Airport (SFO), then 40 min by road

An estimate, one way; the journey never changes the score.