Is it worth the trip?
29Poor out of 100 for your dates
Best on Mon 9: 4 ft swell at 6 s
Tue 3 · 48 out of 100
- Swell
- 3 ft4 smushy
- Energy
- 31kJ
- Wind
- NNE 8 kn
- Temp
- 16°C
Wed 4 · 15 out of 100
- Swell
- 1 ft4 smushy
- Energy
- 5kJ
- Wind
- ENE 8 kn
- Temp
- 18°C
Thu 5 · 23 out of 100
- Swell
- 2 ft5 smushy
- Energy
- 9kJ
- Wind
- SE 2 kn
- Temp
- 19°C
Fri 6 · 8 out of 100
- Swell
- 2 ft5 smushy
- Energy
- 20kJ
- Wind
- WNW 14 kn
- Temp
- 19°C
Sat 7 · 0 out of 100
- Swell
- 10 ft8 smushy
- Energy
- 1,191kJ
- Wind
- NW 15 kn
- Temp
- 12°C
Sun 8 · 11 out of 100
- Swell
- 6 ft7 smushy
- Energy
- 251kJ
- Wind
- NNW 10 kn
- Temp
- 12°C
Mon 9 · 57 out of 100
- Swell
- 4 ft6 smushy
- Energy
- 108kJ
- Wind
- N 6 kn
- Temp
- 13°C
Tap a day for waves, wind and the temperature. Full forecast
Forecast: next 10 days
Full forecast- Mon 265, good
- Tue 348, fair
- Wed 415, too small
- Thu 523, too small
- Fri 68, too small
- Sat 70, too big
- Sun 811, poor
- Mon 957, fair
- Tue 1035, too small
- Wed 119, too small
The spot in six facts
- Faces NWtakes swell from the NW
- Offshore: SEwind from the land
- Intermediate +who it suits
- Works 2–9 ftof swell
- Water 19 °C2 mm shorty
- Best Jan–Feb, Nov1 good days in 7
Full forecast
every day, every number
The score doesn't know rips, currents, rocks or your skill.
Shibagaki does not suit beginners. This is the forecast for intermediates, so you can see what it does.
| Day | Scorefor Intermediate | Swell | Energy | Wind | Temp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2Nov | 65, good | 3 ft5 smushy4 ft at break (est.) | 59kJ | wind from the north, 4 knots | 17°C |
| Tue 3Nov | 48, fair | 3 ft4 smushy3 ft at break (est.) | 31kJ | wind from the north-north-east, 8 knots | 16°C |
| Wed 4Nov | 15, too small | 1 ft4 smushy2 ft at break (est.) | 5kJ | wind from the east-north-east, 8 knots | 18°C |
| Thu 5Nov | 23, too small | 2 ft5 smushy2 ft at break (est.) | 9kJ | offshorewind from the south-east, 2 knots, offshore | 19°C |
| Fri 6Nov | 8, too small | 2 ft5 smushy3 ft at break (est.) | 20kJ | wind from the west-north-west, 14 knots | 19°C |
| Sat 7Nov | 0, too big | 10 ft8 smushy11 ft at break (est.) | 1,191kJ | wind from the north-west, 15 knots | 12°C |
| Sun 8Nov | 11, poor | 6 ft7 smushy6 ft at break (est.) | 251kJ | wind from the north-north-west, 10 knots | 12°C |
| Mon 9Nov | 57, fair | 4 ft6 smushy4 ft at break (est.) | 108kJ | wind from the north, 6 knots | 13°C |
| Tue 10Nov | 35, too small | 3 ft5 smushy3 ft at break (est.) | 34kJ | wind from the north-north-east, 10 knots | 15°C |
| Wed 11Nov | 9, too small | 1 ft5 smushy1 ft at break (est.) | 3kJ | wind from the east-north-east, 7 knots | 14°C |
Energy is the swell's power, in kJ per metre of wave. Wind is in knots, the arrow where it blows to; green is offshore. More
Tide
- Mon 2 NovHigh 06:44 +0.1 mLow 15:18 −0.1 mHigh 23:16 +0.1 m
- Tue 3 NovLow 02:58 +0.1 mHigh 08:31 +0.1 mLow 16:31 −0.1 mHigh 23:40 +0.1 m
- Wed 4 NovLow 04:43 +0.0 mHigh 10:17 +0.1 mLow 17:31 −0.1 m
Local clock times; heights about mean sea level. On open coasts the times are usually within a quarter of an hour; in bays, estuaries and on the Gulf of Mexico they can be an hour or more out. Tide: EOT20 global ocean tide model, Hart-Davis et al. 2021, DGFI-TUM (doi:10.17882/79489), CC BY 4.0. Times and heights computed by us. A model, not a tide table: check a local table before you go.
Forecast updated . It refreshes every three hours. Forecast data: ECMWF, DWD, Météo-France and NOAA, served by Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0). Changed by us. Generated using E.U. Copernicus Marine Service Information.
Best time to go
best Jan–Feb, Nov
Good days in a typical week, each month, for intermediate surfers, from 2016 on (history scored the same way).
- Jan1of 7: a trip from Sat 2 Jan
- Feb1of 7: a trip from Sat 6 Feb
- Mar0of 7: a trip from Sat 6 Mar
- Apr0of 7: a trip from Sat 3 Apr
- May0of 7: a trip from Sat 1 May
- Jun0of 7: a trip from Sat 5 Jun
- Jul0of 7: a trip from Sat 3 Jul
- Aug0of 7: a trip from Sat 7 Aug
- Sep0of 7: a trip from Sat 4 Sept
- Oct0of 7: a trip from Sat 2 Oct
- Nov1of 7: a trip from Tue 3 Nov
- Dec0of 7: a trip from Sat 5 Dec
Tap a month to see this spot for a trip then.
Typical, not a forecast.
Map
the spot and its town
Shibagaki on Google Maps · Directions
Each place wears its best day on these dates, a surf spot for beginners: green good, amber fair, pale red poor, as the key says.
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About
the place in full, sources, credits
About Shibagaki
Facing, offshore wind, exposure, level and swell range are estimated.
The spot faces NW (293°), so it takes swell from the NW. The wind blows offshore from the SE (113°). It is exposed to the open swell. It suits intermediate surfers and up. It works in 2–9 ft of swell. The sea floor shelves very gently: 10 m deep about 1.7 km out (1 in 167). On a typical 5 ft, 11 s swell the waves here would spill softly. The sea is about 11°C in March, its coldest month (4/3 or 5/4, boots and gloves), and 27°C in August, its warmest (no wetsuit). For intermediate surfers the best months are usually January, February and November, with about 1 good days in 7. From the weather of past years. The town to stay in is Oshima, 3.8 km away (about 10 min by car). Within 5 km we also list 1 wind sports spot.
Water about 19°C: 2 mm shorty. Typical sea temperature for the time of year, not a forecast.
The score is the conditions only: the journey, the price and the partners never change it (how we score, how we earn).
Rough cost (estimate): about US$1,300–US$2,480 each
about US$1,300–US$2,480 each · 6 nights, 2 sharing: flights, hire car, stay, food, board and wetsuit.
Our estimate from typical public prices, not a quote: check the real prices before you book (where they come from). Prices are about, in US Dollar (USD): our pound figures at the European Central Bank's rate of 30 October 2026.
How we worked it out
| What | How we worked it out | Each |
|---|---|---|
| Flights | return ORD to KMQ, estimated from distance and season, changing at HKG, full-service airlines, with a hold bag | about US$663–US$1,370 |
| Hire car | 6 days, shared | about US$107–US$174 |
| Stay | 6 nights, a mid-range double, shared | about US$208–US$348 |
| Food | 7 days eating out | about US$234–US$442 |
| Board and wetsuit | 5 days, or about US$114 to fly your own | about US$87–US$141 |
| Total | about US$1,300–US$2,480 |
For 2 people sharing a room. Lessons, lift-pass deals and insurance are extra. Prices from public sources, checked in 2026.
Where to stay: Oshima
about 10 min by car · 5 places to stay
about US$80/nightcountry average
About Oshima its beds, food and every spot near it
About US$80 a night is our estimate of the country's average 2-star double room that month: not each town's price, and not a quote. Drives are estimates. Prices are about, in US Dollar (USD): our pound figures at the European Central Bank's rate of 30 October 2026.
Getting there: about 28h 45m
About 28h 45m door to door from Chicago
Fly ORD → KMQ, changing at Hong Kong International Airport (HKG), then 1h 30m by road
Flights ORD → KMQ on your dates · Skyscanner
An estimate, one way; the journey never changes the score.