Scorpion Bay
Surf spot · Mexico
Is it worth the trip?
16Poor out of 100 for your dates
Best on Tue 3: 3 ft swell at 12 s, sheltered (estimated): holds up in a blow
Tue 3 · 21 out of 100
- Swell
- 3 ft12 ssoft
- Energy
- 239kJ
- Wind
- NNE 3 kn
- Temp
- 28°C
Wed 4 · 15 out of 100
- Swell
- 3 ft12 ssoft
- Energy
- 158kJ
- Wind
- NNW 11 kn
- Temp
- 28°C
Thu 5 · 18 out of 100
- Swell
- 3 ft13 ssoft
- Energy
- 209kJ
- Wind
- NNW 8 kn
- Temp
- 28°C
Fri 6 · 16 out of 100
- Swell
- 2 ft12 ssoft
- Energy
- 109kJ
- Wind
- ENE 1 kn
- Temp
- 28°C
Sat 7 · 9 out of 100
- Swell
- 2 ft15 scrumbling
- Energy
- 121kJ
- Wind
- N 5 kn
- Temp
- 28°C
Sun 8 · 11 out of 100
- Swell
- 1 ft13 scrumbling
- Energy
- 54kJ
- Wind
- S 3 kn
- Temp
- 29°C
Mon 9 · 10 out of 100
- Swell
- 2 ft11 scrumbling
- Energy
- 53kJ
- Wind
- SE 4 kn
- Temp
- 30°C
Tap a day for waves, wind and the temperature. Full forecast
Forecast: next 10 days
Full forecast- Mon 227, too small
- Tue 321, too small
- Wed 415, too small
- Thu 518, too small
- Fri 616, too small
- Sat 79, too small
- Sun 811, too small
- Mon 910, too small
- Tue 109, too small
- Wed 1112, too small
The spot in six facts
- Faces Stakes swell from the S
- Offshore: Nwind from the land
- Intermediate +who it suits
- Works 3–11 ftof swell
- Water 23 °C2 mm shorty
- Best Nov–Jan2 good days in 7
Full forecast
every day, every number
| Day | Score for experts | Swell | Energy | Wind | Temp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 2Nov | 27, too small | 4 ft12 ssoft6 ft at break (est.) | 310kJ | offshorewind from the north-north-west, 8 knots, offshore | 31°C |
| Tue 3Nov | 21, too small | 3 ft12 ssoft5 ft at break (est.) | 239kJ | offshorewind from the north-north-east, 3 knots, offshore | 28°C |
| Wed 4Nov | 15, too small | 3 ft12 ssoft4 ft at break (est.) | 158kJ | offshorewind from the north-north-west, 11 knots, offshore | 28°C |
| Thu 5Nov | 18, too small | 3 ft13 ssoftunder 1 ft at break (est.) | 209kJ | offshorewind from the north-north-west, 8 knots, offshore | 28°C |
| Fri 6Nov | 16, too small | 2 ft12 ssoft4 ft at break (est.) | 109kJ | wind from the east-north-east, 1 knot | 28°C |
| Sat 7Nov | 9, too small | 2 ft15 scrumblingunder 1 ft at break (est.) | 121kJ | offshorewind from the north, 5 knots, offshore | 28°C |
| Sun 8Nov | 11, too small | 1 ft13 scrumbling3 ft at break (est.) | 54kJ | wind from the south, 3 knots | 29°C |
| Mon 9Nov | 10, too small | 2 ft11 scrumbling3 ft at break (est.) | 53kJ | wind from the south-east, 4 knots | 30°C |
| Tue 10Nov | 9, too small | 2 ft12 smushy3 ft at break (est.) | 55kJ | wind from the south-south-west, 6 knots | 30°C |
| Wed 11Nov | 12, too small | 3 ft11 ssoftunder 1 ft at break (est.) | 204kJ | wind from the west-north-west, 10 knots | 31°C |
Energy is the swell's power, in kJ per metre of wave. Wind is in knots, the arrow where it blows to; green is offshore. More
Tide
- Mon 2 NovHigh 04:25 +0.3 mLow 09:32 −0.1 mHigh 15:24 +0.5 mLow 22:24 −0.7 m
- Tue 3 NovHigh 05:11 +0.5 mLow 10:59 −0.3 mHigh 16:51 +0.6 mLow 23:18 −0.7 m
- Wed 4 NovHigh 05:47 +0.7 mLow 11:55 −0.5 mHigh 17:55 +0.6 m
Local clock times; heights about mean sea level. On open coasts the times are usually within a quarter of an hour; in bays, estuaries and on the Gulf of Mexico they can be an hour or more out. Tide: EOT20 global ocean tide model, Hart-Davis et al. 2021, DGFI-TUM (doi:10.17882/79489), CC BY 4.0. Times and heights computed by us. A model, not a tide table: check a local table before you go.
Forecast updated . It refreshes every three hours. Forecast data: ECMWF, DWD, Météo-France and NOAA, served by Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0). Changed by us. Generated using E.U. Copernicus Marine Service Information.
Best time to go
best Nov–Jan
Good days in a typical week, each month, for intermediate surfers, from 2016 on (history scored the same way).
- Jan2of 7: a trip from Sat 2 Jan
- Feb1of 7: a trip from Sat 6 Feb
- Mar0of 7: a trip from Sat 6 Mar
- Apr0of 7: a trip from Sat 3 Apr
- May0of 7: a trip from Sat 1 May
- Jun0of 7: a trip from Sat 5 Jun
- Jul0of 7: a trip from Sat 3 Jul
- Aug1of 7: a trip from Sat 7 Aug
- Sep1of 7: a trip from Sat 4 Sept
- Oct1of 7: a trip from Sat 2 Oct
- Nov2of 7: a trip from Tue 3 Nov
- Dec2of 7: a trip from Sat 5 Dec
Tap a month to see this spot for a trip then.
Typical, not a forecast.
Map
the spot and its town
Scorpion Bay on Google Maps · Directions
Each place wears its best day on these dates, a surf spot for experts: green good, amber fair, pale red poor, as the key says.
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About
the place in full, sources, credits
About Scorpion Bay
Facing, offshore wind, exposure, level and swell range are estimated.
The spot faces S (191°), so it takes swell from the S. The wind blows offshore from the N (11°). It is sheltered to the open swell. It suits intermediate surfers and up. It works in 3–11 ft of swell. The sea floor shelves gently: 10 m deep about 850 m out (1 in 83). On a typical 5 ft, 11 s swell the waves here would spill softly. The sea is about 16°C in May, its coldest month (3/2 wetsuit), and 25°C in August, its warmest (no wetsuit). For intermediate surfers the best months are usually January, November and December, with about 2 good days in 7. From the weather of past years. The town to stay in is San Juanico, 2.5 km away (about 5 min by car).
Water about 23°C: 2 mm shorty. Typical sea temperature for the time of year, not a forecast.
The score is the conditions only: the journey, the price and the partners never change it (how we score, how we earn).
Rough cost (estimate): about US$812–US$1,480 each
about US$812–US$1,480 each · 6 nights, 2 sharing: flights, hire car, stay, food, board and wetsuit.
Our estimate from typical public prices, not a quote: check the real prices before you book (where they come from). Prices are about, in US Dollar (USD): our pound figures at the European Central Bank's rate of 2 November 2026.
How we worked it out
| What | How we worked it out | Each |
|---|---|---|
| Flights | return MDW to LTO, estimated from distance and season, changing at DFW, full-service airlines, with a hold bag | about US$248–US$517 |
| Hire car | 6 days, shared | about US$94–US$154 |
| Stay | 6 nights, a mid-range double, shared | about US$181–US$295 |
| Food | 7 days eating out | about US$201–US$376 |
| Board and wetsuit | 5 days, or about US$114 to fly your own | about US$87–US$141 |
| Total | about US$812–US$1,480 |
For 2 people sharing a room. Lessons, lift-pass deals and insurance are extra. Prices from public sources, checked in 2026.
Where to stay: San Juanico
Ad Links marked Ad may pay us if you book. You pay the same, and they never change a score. How we earn
about 5 min by car · 4 places to stay
about US$67/nightcountry average
About San Juanico its beds, food and every spot near it
About US$67 a night is our estimate of the country's average 2-star double room that month: not each town's price, and not a quote. Drives are estimates. Prices are about, in US Dollar (USD): our pound figures at the European Central Bank's rate of 2 November 2026.
Getting there: about 13h 30m
About 13h 30m door to door from Chicago
Fly MDW → LTO, changing at Dallas Fort Worth International Airport (DFW), then 2h 20m by road
Flights MDW → LTO on your dates · AviasalesAdeSIM for your phone · Search on AiraloAd
An estimate, one way; the journey never changes the score.